Sådan påvirker boligskattereformen husejerne

Boligøkonom Lise Nytoft Bergmann fra Nordea Kredit forklarer, hvor meget boligejerne betaler i skat i dag, og hvor meget regningen stiger eller falder i 2024.

Lise Nytoft Bergmann

Artiklen er skrevet af Lise Nytoft Bergmann, som er chefanalytiker og boligøkonom for Nordea Kredit. Hendes fokusområde er bolig- og rentemarkedet, og gennem statistik og analyse deler hun ud af sin viden om emner, der har betydning for danske boligejere og potentielle boligkøbere.

Lad det være sagt med det samme, så al tvivl kan fejes af bordet: For langt de fleste husejere bliver boligskattereformen ikke nogen gyser. Faktisk kan størstedelen af husejerne over hele landet se frem til at betale mindre i samlede boligskatter efter overgangen til det nye system, end de gør i dag, mens resten skal betale præcis det samme som følge af den vedtagne ”skatterabat”. Det gælder uanset, hvor dyrt huset er.

Det kan lade sig gøre, fordi ejendomsværdiskattesatsen og grundskyldspromillen falder, og derfor kan boligpriserne sagtens stige mærkbart i forhold til den seneste vurdering fra 2011, uden at skattebetalingen gør det samme. Og skulle skatten alligevel stige ved overgangen til det nye system, bliver boligejerne kompenseret gennem en skatterabat, de kan beholde, så længe de selv bor i ejendommen.

Derfor vil alle, der har købt og overtaget deres bolig senest 31. december 2023, enten betale mindre eller det samme ved overgangen til det nye system i 2024, som de gør i dag. Så derfor skal ingen boligejere trække flere penge op af lommen som følge af reformen.

Stadig vindere og tabere

Når det er sagt, er det dog også vigtigt at understrege, at boligskattereformen stadig skaber vindere og tabere på boligmarkedet. Vinderne er de boligejere, der vil opleve faldende boligskatter, mens taberne er de boligejere, der vil opleve stigende boligskatter på papiret og derfor vil modtage en skatterabat. For selvom skatterabatten betyder, at de samlede boligskatter ikke stiger for ejeren ved overgangen til det nye beskatningssystem, vil fremtidige boligkøbere skulle betale en højere skat end i dag, og det presser priserne ned.

Hvordan opgøres skatterabatten?

Konkret kan man forestille sig, at de samlede boligskatter ligger på 20.000 kr. om året efter de nuværende beskatningsregler i 2024, men at beløbet stiger til 25.000 kr., når skatten beregnes efter det nye system. I det tilfælde vil boligejere få en skatterabat på 5.000 kr., som ejeren kan trække fra de samlede boligskatter år efter år, indtil boligen sælges. Stiger boligskatterne derfor yderligere i fx 2025 til 27.000 kr., så kan boligejeren stadig fratrække den oprindelige skatterabat på 5.000 kr. og dermed slippe med en regning på 22.000 kr. Men så nemt har kommende ejere det ikke.

Ingen skatterabat til nye købere

Hvis man overtager sin bolig efter 31. december 2023, får man nemlig ikke nogen skatterabat, og i det tilfælde bliver man beskattet af den fulde værdi af den seneste ejendomsvurdering. Det er ikke så rart, for det betyder, at der er færre penge til andre ting, og det vil alt andet lige presse priserne ned. For hvis køberne ikke selv beder om et afslag, vil bankerne indirekte gøre det for dem.

Kommer køberne ned i banken for at få regnet på, hvor meget de kan købe bolig for, vil beløbet nemlig blive sat lavere, hvis der er tale om bolig, hvor skatterne er høje. Og før eller siden vil ejerne af de ”skatteramte” boliger være nødt til at sætte prisen ned.

Langt de fleste husejerne behøver ikke at være bekymrede

Min konklusion er altså, at ingen boligejere har udsigt til højere samlede boligskatter i 2024 som følge af overgangen til det system. Og kun relativt få husejere har udsigt til et prisfald på deres hus som følge af reformen. Der er selvfølgelig tale om en alt andet lige-betragtning, og i praksis kan boligpriserne derfor godt falde i 2024, da boligprisudviklingen afhænger af mange andre forhold end boligskatterne.

Som en sidste oplysning kan nævnes, at skatterabatten ikke er et lån men et skattefradrag, hvorfor den ikke skal betales tilbage.

Så meget stiger eller falder de samlede boligskatter i 2024

Nedenfor er vist tre tabeller med hhv. billige , typiske og dyre huse i de enkelte kommuner.

Tabellerne viser, hvor meget boligejerne betaler i samlede boligskatter i 2022, og hvor meget skatten forventes at stiger til i 2024 for hhv. eksisterende boligejere og nye boligkøbere (der overtaget huset efter 1. januar 2024).

Billigt hus (se beregninger for hhv. typiske og dyre huse i tabellerne længere nede)

  Boligskat i 2022 Boligskat i 2024 - eksisterende ejere Boligskat i 2024 - nye boligkøbere
Albertslund                     30.800                               21.100                           21.100
Allerød                     33.400                               29.800                           29.800
Assens                        7.400                                 4.600                              4.600
Ballerup                     41.000                               33.000                           33.000
Billund                        7.500                                 4.700                              4.700
Bornholm                        6.400                                 5.100                              5.100
Brøndby                     27.700                               21.900                           21.900
Brønderslev                        6.300                                 4.200                              4.200
Dragør                     38.400                               39.100                           39.900
Egedal                     24.900                               23.700                           23.700
Esbjerg                     11.600                                 7.500                              7.500
Fanø                     15.700                               11.900                           11.900
Favrskov                     11.800                                 7.800                              7.800
Faxe                     13.900                                 9.400                              9.400
Fredensborg                     30.700                               27.400                           27.400
Fredericia                     14.700                               11.200                           11.200
Frederiksberg                     79.100                               55.400                           55.400
Frederikshavn                        8.000                                 4.600                              4.600
Frederikssund                     24.200                               17.700                           17.700
Furesø                     34.800                               31.200                           31.200
Faaborg-Midtfyn                        7.800                                 4.900                              4.900
Gentofte                     46.600                               47.400                           51.400
Gladsaxe                     35.000                               33.600                           33.600
Glostrup                     34.600                               29.000                           29.000
Greve                     23.800                               20.100                           20.100
Gribskov                     24.000                               20.600                           20.600
Guldborgsund                        5.700                                 3.700                              3.700
Haderslev                        6.000                                 3.800                              3.800
Halsnæs                     21.200                               17.000                           17.000
Hedensted                        8.700                                 5.600                              5.600
Helsingør                     34.800                               29.300                           29.300
Herlev                     33.800                               24.900                           24.900
Herning                        8.100                                 5.300                              5.300
Hillerød                     26.100                               20.600                           20.600
Hjørring                        6.500                                 3.800                              3.800
Holbæk                     13.300                                 8.300                              8.300
Holstebro                        7.700                                 4.800                              4.800
Horsens                     13.000                                 8.800                              8.800
Hvidovre                     39.800                               33.200                           33.200
Høje-Taastrup                     26.500                               21.700                           21.700
Hørsholm                     40.300                               34.600                           34.600
Ikast-Brande                        8.700                                 5.500                              5.500
Ishøj                     26.600                               18.800                           18.800
Jammerbugt                        5.900                                 3.400                              3.400
Kalundborg                     10.200                                 6.800                              6.800
Kerteminde                     12.900                                 8.200                              8.200
Kolding                     12.900                                 8.800                              8.800
København                     52.800                               34.600                           34.600
Køge                     20.600                               16.200                           16.200
Langeland                        4.600                                 2.800                              2.800
Lejre                     23.600                               17.700                           17.700
Lemvig                        4.200                                 2.800                              2.800
Lolland                        3.800                                 2.500                              2.500
Lyngby-Taarbæk                     46.700                               44.700                           44.700
Læsø                        7.100                                 4.100                              4.100
Mariagerfjord                        7.200                                 4.600                              4.600
Middelfart                        8.900                                 5.400                              5.400
Morsø                        3.400                                 2.300                              2.300
Norddjurs                        7.100                                 4.600                              4.600
Nordfyns                        8.500                                 5.400                              5.400
Nyborg                     10.300                                 6.000                              6.000
Næstved                     12.900                                 9.000                              9.000
Odder                     16.900                               11.400                           11.400
Odense                     15.500                               10.600                           10.600
Odsherred                     11.000                                 6.500                              6.500
Randers                        9.800                                 7.000                              7.000
Rebild                        7.200                                 4.500                              4.500
Ringkøbing-Skjern                        6.300                                 3.900                              3.900
Ringsted                     16.600                               12.000                           12.000
Roskilde                     31.500                               19.600                           19.600
Rudersdal                     53.300                               51.400                           51.400
Rødovre                     37.600                               31.000                           31.000
Samsø                        7.700                                 5.200                              5.200
Silkeborg                     13.400                                 9.200                              9.200
Skanderborg                     17.900                               14.600                           14.600
Skive                        4.100                                 2.500                              2.500
Slagelse                     12.200                                 7.600                              7.600
Solrød                     26.900                               23.400                           23.400
Sorø                     11.700                                 6.900                              6.900
Stevns                     14.000                                 8.400                              8.400
Struer                        5.400                                 3.500                              3.500
Svendborg                     10.300                                 7.100                              7.100
Syddjurs                     10.400                                 7.100                              7.100
Sønderborg                        6.600                                 4.100                              4.100
Thisted                        4.600                                 2.800                              2.800
Tønder                        4.200                                 2.700                              2.700
Tårnby                     34.900                               35.600                           36.800
Vallensbæk                     32.300                               23.900                           23.900
Varde                        7.400                                 5.000                              5.000
Vejen                        6.400                                 3.900                              3.900
Vejle                     12.400                                 8.000                              8.000
Vesthimmerlands                        4.800                                 3.000                              3.000
Viborg                        8.200                                 5.200                              5.200
Vordingborg                        9.800                                 6.400                              6.400
Ærø                        4.800                                 3.300                              3.300
Aabenraa                        5.600                                 3.200                              3.200
Aalborg                     12.700                                 7.400                              7.400
Aarhus                     22.600                               17.900                           17.900

Kilde: SKAT, Vurderingsstyrelsen og Nordea Kredit. Forklaring: Med et ”billigt hus” menes et hus, hvor 25 pct. af den pågældende kommunes huse er billigere, mens 75 pct. er dyrere.

Typisk hus

 

Boligskat i 2022

Boligskat i 2024 - eksisterende ejere

Bolgiskat i 2024 - nye boligkøbere

Albertslund

                    39.800

                              25.000

                          25.000

Allerød

                    43.800

                              40.100

                          40.100

Assens

                    12.200

                                7.600

                             7.600

Ballerup

                    48.100

                              39.100

                          39.100

Billund

                    12.000

                                8.600

                             8.600

Bornholm

                    10.900

                                9.600

                             9.600

Brøndby

                    32.300

                              25.400

                          25.400

Brønderslev

                    13.300

                                8.700

                             8.700

Dragør

                    46.600

                              47.500

                          48.400

Egedal

                    32.200

                              29.700

                          29.700

Esbjerg

                    18.400

                              14.000

                          14.000

Fanø

                    19.200

                              16.100

                          16.100

Favrskov

                    20.700

                              16.500

                          16.500

Faxe

                    18.400

                              15.200

                          15.200

Fredensborg

                    39.000

                              36.200

                          36.200

Fredericia

                    19.100

                              16.200

                          16.200

Frederiksberg

                    82.100

                              83.700

                          86.400

Frederikshavn

                    14.500

                                9.400

                             9.400

Frederikssund

                    33.200

                              27.400

                          27.400

Furesø

                    45.000

                              41.700

                          41.700

Faaborg-Midtfyn

                    12.700

                                8.300

                             8.300

Gentofte

                    66.300

                              67.300

                          73.900

Gladsaxe

                    45.700

                              43.000

                          43.000

Glostrup

                    37.400

                              31.600

                          31.600

Greve

                    31.000

                              27.000

                          27.000

Gribskov

                    29.800

                              26.500

                          26.500

Guldborgsund

                    10.800

                                7.100

                             7.100

Haderslev

                    12.200

                                7.700

                             7.700

Halsnæs

                    25.200

                              21.200

                          21.200

Hedensted

                    13.200

                                9.000

                             9.000

Helsingør

                    49.400

                              39.600

                          39.600

Herlev

                    40.400

                              30.900

                          30.900

Herning

                    17.000

                              11.800

                          11.800

Hillerød

                    34.000

                              28.400

                          28.400

Hjørring

                    13.200

                                8.500

                             8.500

Holbæk

                    22.900

                              16.100

                          16.100

Holstebro

                    17.200

                              12.000

                          12.000

Horsens

                    17.100

                              13.900

                          13.900

Hvidovre

                    44.900

                              40.800

                          40.800

Høje-Taastrup

                    31.000

                              25.600

                          25.600

Hørsholm

                    57.300

                              56.800

                          56.800

Ikast-Brande

                    14.800

                              10.200

                          10.200

Ishøj

                    33.800

                              24.600

                          24.600

Jammerbugt

                    11.700

                                7.100

                             7.100

Kalundborg

                    16.200

                              10.500

                          10.500

Kerteminde

                    19.600

                              13.300

                          13.300

Kolding

                    23.100

                              15.900

                          15.900

København

                    61.600

                              46.600

                          46.600

Køge

                    26.700

                              22.900

                          22.900

Langeland

                       7.900

                                5.200

                             5.200

Lejre

                    27.900

                              23.300

                          23.300

Lemvig

                       7.600

                                5.100

                             5.100

Lolland

                       6.300

                                4.000

                             4.000

Lyngby-Taarbæk

                    59.600

                              56.600

                          56.600

Læsø

                       9.800

                                7.300

                             7.300

Mariagerfjord

                    13.900

                                9.700

                             9.700

Middelfart

                    15.600

                              12.000

                          12.000

Morsø

                       6.700

                                4.400

                             4.400

Norddjurs

                    12.200

                                9.100

                             9.100

Nordfyns

                    14.900

                              10.400

                          10.400

Nyborg

                    17.100

                              10.400

                          10.400

Næstved

                    20.500

                              14.800

                          14.800

Odder

                    27.000

                              20.900

                          20.900

Odense

                    20.400

                              16.300

                          16.300

Odsherred

                    16.200

                              10.000

                          10.000

Randers

                    18.700

                              14.100

                          14.100

Rebild

                    14.500

                              12.300

                          12.300

Ringkøbing-Skjern

                    12.300

                                8.300

                             8.300

Ringsted

                    22.300

                              17.700

                          17.700

Roskilde

                    38.300

                              31.600

                          31.600

Rudersdal

                    78.200

                              65.400

                          65.400

Rødovre

                    45.000

                              40.500

                          40.500

Samsø

                    10.200

                                8.200

                             8.200

Silkeborg

                    28.000

                              20.500

                          20.500

Skanderborg

                    25.900

                              22.100

                          22.100

Skive

                       9.400

                                6.000

                             6.000

Slagelse

                    19.200

                              12.900

                          12.900

Solrød

                    35.300

                              33.000

                          33.000

Sorø

                    18.500

                              13.100

                          13.100

Stevns

                    19.700

                              14.700

                          14.700

Struer

                    11.800

                                7.700

                             7.700

Svendborg

                    17.600

                              13.700

                          13.700

Syddjurs

                    19.100

                              14.400

                          14.400

Sønderborg

                    13.900

                                8.900

                             8.900

Thisted

                       9.100

                                6.200

                             6.200

Tønder

                       7.400

                                4.600

                             4.600

Tårnby

                    38.600

                              39.300

                          42.800

Vallensbæk

                    37.600

                              30.000

                          30.000

Varde

                    13.800

                                9.100

                             9.100

Vejen

                    10.600

                                6.800

                             6.800

Vejle

                    21.800

                              16.000

                          16.000

Vesthimmerlands

                       9.300

                                6.000

                             6.000

Viborg

                    15.800

                              10.900

                          10.900

Vordingborg

                    15.700

                              10.800

                          10.800

Ærø

                       7.300

                                6.200

                             6.200

Aabenraa

                    10.500

                                6.200

                             6.200

Aalborg

                    21.800

                              18.100

                          18.100

Aarhus

                    30.500

                              27.500

                          27.500

 

Kilde: SKAT, Vurderingsstyrelsen og Nordea Kredit. Forklaring: Et ”typisk hus” er et hus, hvor 50 pct. af kommunens huse er billigere, og 50 pct. af husene er dyrere.

Dyrt hus

 

Boligskat i 2022

Boligskat i 2024 - eksisterende ejere

Boligskat  i 2024 - nye boligkøbere

Albertslund

                    51.600

                              33.000

                          33.000

Allerød

                    51.100

                              51.000

                          51.000

Assens

                    17.900

                              13.600

                          13.600

Ballerup

                    55.100

                              50.100

                          50.100

Billund

                    16.900

                              14.000

                          14.000

Bornholm

                    17.400

                              17.700

                          19.000

Brøndby

                    39.300

                              32.800

                          32.800

Brønderslev

                    19.100

                              14.200

                          14.200

Dragør

                    64.500

                              65.600

                          67.800

Egedal

                    41.600

                              38.600

                          38.600

Esbjerg

                    23.600

                              21.700

                          21.700

Fanø

                    22.800

                              22.900

                          22.900

Favrskov

                    27.000

                              25.800

                          25.800

Faxe

                    22.500

                              21.000

                          21.000

Fredensborg

                    56.500

                              55.200

                          55.200

Fredericia

                    26.400

                              24.100

                          24.100

Frederiksberg

                    93.700

                              95.400

                        153.700

Frederikshavn

                    23.300

                              20.400

                          20.400

Frederikssund

                    41.600

                              37.600

                          37.600

Furesø

                    59.900

                              60.800

                          61.500

Faaborg-Midtfyn

                    19.100

                              15.000

                          15.000

Gentofte

                  107.100

                            108.300

                        164.800

Gladsaxe

                    59.800

                              59.800

                          59.800

Glostrup

                    44.200

                              40.400

                          40.400

Greve

                    39.900

                              38.100

                          38.100

Gribskov

                    39.600

                              38.500

                          38.500

Guldborgsund

                    18.800

                              14.800

                          14.800

Haderslev

                    20.000

                              15.700

                          15.700

Halsnæs

                    28.900

                              29.200

                          30.000

Hedensted

                    18.200

                              14.800

                          14.800

Helsingør

                    67.300

                              64.100

                          64.100

Herlev

                    47.000

                              42.100

                          42.100

Herning

                    22.500

                              18.900

                          18.900

Hillerød

                    42.000

                              39.500

                          39.500

Hjørring

                    20.600

                              15.200

                          15.200

Holbæk

                    30.100

                              28.100

                          28.100

Holstebro

                    22.400

                              19.100

                          19.100

Horsens

                    24.600

                              23.000

                          23.000

Hvidovre

                    52.200

                              53.200

                          55.800

Høje-Taastrup

                    37.300

                              33.500

                          33.500

Hørsholm

                    95.700

                              89.700

                          89.700

Ikast-Brande

                    18.700

                              14.800

                          14.800

Ishøj

                    41.500

                              34.400

                          34.400

Jammerbugt

                    17.700

                              17.800

                          21.200

Kalundborg

                    23.200

                              18.000

                          18.000

Kerteminde

                    27.400

                              24.200

                          24.200

Kolding

                    28.700

                              24.000

                          24.000

København

                    62.900

                              64.100

                          67.800

Køge

                    33.100

                              33.500

                          34.100

Langeland

                    13.100

                              12.600

                          12.600

Lejre

                    34.500

                              33.700

                          33.700

Lemvig

                    15.600

                              11.500

                          11.500

Lolland

                    12.300

                                8.700

                             8.700

Lyngby-Taarbæk

                    79.500

                              79.800

                          79.800

Læsø

                    11.900

                              11.600

                          13.400

Mariagerfjord

                    20.600

                              16.300

                          16.300

Middelfart

                    24.000

                              21.700

                          21.700

Morsø

                    14.900

                              10.800

                          10.800

Norddjurs

                    17.800

                              14.100

                          14.100

Nordfyns

                    20.400

                              17.300

                          17.300

Nyborg

                    22.900

                              17.900

                          17.900

Næstved

                    25.500

                              21.800

                          21.800

Odder

                    33.700

                              27.700

                          27.700

Odense

                    28.100

                              28.400

                          28.400

Odsherred

                    21.600

                              16.000

                          16.000

Randers

                    23.700

                              20.800

                          20.800

Rebild

                    24.200

                              20.600

                          20.600

Ringkøbing-Skjern

                    20.000

                              15.700

                          15.700

Ringsted

                    28.200

                              25.000

                          25.000

Roskilde

                    51.600

                              49.700

                          49.700

Rudersdal

                    95.700

                              96.900

                          99.000

Rødovre

                    53.800

                              54.000

                          54.000

Samsø

                    13.000

                              12.900

                          16.200

Silkeborg

                    36.300

                              34.400

                          34.400

Skanderborg

                    33.900

                              34.000

                          34.000

Skive

                    15.700

                              11.300

                          11.300

Slagelse

                    25.100

                              20.400

                          20.400

Solrød

                    53.500

                              50.400

                          50.400

Sorø

                    28.600

                              24.200

                          24.200

Stevns

                    28.600

                              28.300

                          28.600

Struer

                    16.300

                              11.100

                          11.100

Svendborg

                    28.400

                              27.100

                          27.100

Syddjurs

                    26.800

                              25.600

                          25.600

Sønderborg

                    22.200

                              18.100

                          18.100

Thisted

                    16.300

                              13.100

                          13.100

Tønder

                    11.900

                                9.300

                             9.300

Tårnby

                    45.200

                              46.000

                          53.700

Vallensbæk

                    49.800

                              46.700

                          46.700

Varde

                    20.900

                              16.800

                          16.800

Vejen

                    16.200

                              11.400

                          11.400

Vejle

                    31.200

                              27.900

                          27.900

Vesthimmerlands

                    16.000

                              12.700

                          12.700

Viborg

                    24.800

                              19.500

                          19.500

Vordingborg

                    22.800

                              18.500

                          18.500

Ærø

                    11.700

                              10.900

                          10.900

Aabenraa

                    19.000

                              17.100

                          17.100

Aalborg

                    29.900

                              30.300

                          32.200

Aarhus

                    49.500

                              48.300

                          48.300

 

Kilde: SKAT, Vurderingsstyrelsen og Nordea Kredit. Forklaring: Med et ”dyrt hus” menes et hus, hvor 75 pct. af den pågældende kommunes huse er billigere, mens 25 pct. er dyrere.